Apr 01 2008

Are equities cheap?

Published by Marc Westlake under WealthN

Equity and Bond investments relative value

Equities (as at 31/3/2008)

Equities

Level

Change YTD

Div Yield

P/E

ISEQ

6153

-11.3%

3.3%

7.0

FTSE100

5693

-11.8%

4.3%

11.4

S&P 500

1315

-10.4%

2.3%

19.9

EuroStoxx 50

3030

-17.8%

4.5%

10.3

Nikkei 225

12800

-16.3%

1.7%

14.2

Source: Dolmen Securities Ltd

Are equities cheap?

The P/E ratio of equity markets should be an indicator of fair market value.

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Mar 28 2008

Bloomberg: Jim Grant on the recent actions of the Federal Reserve (Video)

Published by Ed Murphy under Articles of Interest, Video

Jim Grant, founder and editor of the highly respected Grants Interest Rate Observer and one of the world’s leading experts on US and international interest rates and financial markets appeared on Bloomberg’s “Taking Stock” on Tuesday, March 24. He is very bearish on bonds, calling them ‘risk without return’ and quite bullish on Gold and Silver.

Gold is a Hedge Against Depredations of Our Financial Masters and a Dollar Based Calamity; In Coming Years Stocks to Struggle and Silver is the Silver Lining.

Jim Grant on Federal Reserve Actions

Just yesterday it was reported that South Korea’s National Pension Service plans to no longer purchase U.S. Treasuries - is this evidence of a broader trend?

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Mar 25 2008

Ron Paul on CNBC: ‘Abolish the Federal Reserve’

Published by Ed Murphy under Articles of Interest, Video

Ron Paul appeared on CNBC’s Kudlow & Company last week; making his case to abolish the Federal Reserve and work back towards the gold standard:

Michelle Cabrera shouldn’t sound so incredulous, didn’t Jim Rogers appear on CNBC just recently saying the same thing?

Interviewer: “What would be ther first two things you would do if you were in Bernanke’s seat tomorrow morning?”
Rogers: “I would abolish the Federal Reserve and I would resign.”

I think it is fair to say that Jim Rogers does not mince his words.

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Mar 18 2008

Paralysed by fear

Published by Marc Westlake under WealthN

It is becoming clear that investors are currently paralysed by fear and finding it difficult to make rational decisions in the face of unprecedented turmoil in international markets.

In this article, I will attempt to explore some of the issues that investors should be considering in the light of recent market volatility as shown below:

Index

Year to Date Return

31/12/07 to 14/03/08

 

Local Currency %

Euro %

US S&P 500

-12.3

-18.2

Europe FT/S&P Europe ex UK

-16.5

-16.5

Ireland ISEQ

-13.5

-13.5

UK FTSE 100

-12.8

-16.9

Japan Topix

-19.1

-15.5

Hong Kong Hang Seng

-20.1

-25.3

Bonds Merrill Lynch Euro over 5 year Govt

3.3

3.3

Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index

0.1%

0.1%

     

Index Linked Bonds

Euro Index Linked Fund

3.74

3.74

Source: Bloomberg

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Mar 11 2008

“Look out, there’s a big pie coming at your face.”

Published by Ed Murphy under Commentary, Video

The Recession IndexIt was obvious to any casual observer that debate about whether the US was in, or approaching a recession, was increasing.
According to a January article in The Economist “[in] recent opinion polls, almost six out of ten Americans believe the country is already in a recession.”

And the media are increasingly willing to confront the situation head on. CNN Money this week featured John Williams of shadowstats.com who stated:

“We have a severe recession ahead of us, with even higher inflation … probably the worst business cycle seen since the great depression.”

His advice?

“You want to be liquid, you want to be safe, and I would hold a little bit of gold as a hedge against inflation.”

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